Indiana Fever Picks & Predictions

Indiana comes into the final stretch of the regular season with its playoff seeding still unsettled, sitting 26-14 and only one game behind Atlanta for fourth, so there is meaningful incentive for the Fever to maintain their offensive aggression rather than simply manage minutes or tempo. Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston are back in the lineup following the international break, while Toronto enters this matchup with a significantly depleted roster. That combination creates an important matchup dynamic: Indiana has the offensive personnel to push the pace and generate efficient possessions, while Toronto's injuries reduce the defensive depth available to withstand sustained pressure. The total is therefore being attacked at 187.5, rather than relying on Indiana's side of the game, because Toronto's depleted rotation can contribute to the Over simply by forcing Indiana into extended offensive opportunities and creating additional transition chances.

Indiana have a major edge in form, depth and motivation, while Toronto are missing several important players. The Fever won both previous meetings this season and should control the game. -11.5 still gives us some protection below the main market line.

Guadalajara, reaching the semifinal without dropping a set. She dominated Frech 6-2, 6-1 and looks very comfortable on these courts. Bucsa is in good form too, so I prefer the safer Jovic ML rather than 2-0