xRipeh

Nothing fancy here. My model has oilers winning 69.0% of the time. This is substantially higher than the consensus odds implied probability of 42.4%. Play Oilers moneyline simply for the value.

Kirk Cousins leads the NFL in passing touchdowns (16). He has 2+ passing touchdowns in every game except one. Now we're getting o1.5 at almost even money. This price is just too good to pass up. The Jets have allowed 2+ passing TDs in 4/7 games this season. The Bears, Browns, and Titans were held to less than 2 passing TDs which rank 25th & 28th in total passing TDs. Play Kirk over!

Williams has at least 80 yards in 4/7 LA games. The Rams are 3-1 in those games, and 0-3 in all the others. The Chargers rank 21st in rush yards allowed. Last week Rams running backs had a total of 192 yards on 33 carries. Kyren Williams had 99 of those yards. Look for Chargers to continue to feed Williams the ball today. Over is the play.

In the last 5 head to head, Djurgårdens are 4-1. Outscoring Degerfors 15-5. Look for Djurgårdens to continue this trend and find the win.

Como has been playing well. Como has not lost to Venezia in the last 3 matches and had the outright win in 2. Como is also undefeated in their last 5 at home. Look for Como to continue this trend.

Jet Greaves in net tonight for CBJ with a 3.29 GAA versus Stars Jake Oettinger with an elite 1.69 GAA. My model has a Stars winning by +1.3 goals or 64% of the time. The Stars have dropped the last 2 games at home against winning teams and now get a favorable matchup against a .455% team. Look for Stars to get the win at home before hitting the road next week.

Anthony Stolarz will be getting the start tonight for the Leafs. Hallelujah! Stolarz's last start was in Edmonton where the Leafs dominated in a 7-2 win on Saturday night. He's posting a 2.79 GAA and a 4-1 record. Vancouver will have Meriläinen in net tonight with a 3.33 GAA and a 2-4-1 record. My model has Leafs winning by +1.1 goals or 69% of the time. We cant forget the Canucks are the worst team in the league with 3 wins in 15 games. Simply backing the better team here looking to collect 2 points after a disappointing loss in Seattle.